http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/soulik-a-potentially-devastati/15048816Typhoon Soulik to Devastate Northern Taiwan
July 10, 2013; 9:30 AM
Typhoon Soulik is approaching super typhoon status (winds of greater than 150 mph) as it continues move westward approaching northern Taiwan.
Soulik has sustained winds of 140 mph with gusts over 165 mph. It is expected to maintain its strength, or slightly strengthen, over the next day or two as it nears Taiwan. Just before landfall Friday afternoon over Taiwan, Soulik may weaken slightly. Thursday afternoon and night, local time, the Japanese island of Okinawa will get into squally conditions from the outer bands of Soulik.
However, the weakening will not spare northern Taiwan from life-threatening conditions. Winds near the coasts of northern Taiwan will become sustained over 100 mph and gust as high as 120 or 130 mph. The most likely areas to see these winds are Ishigaki in the southern Ryukyu Islands and Yilan on the island of Taiwan. Sustained winds in the major city of Taipei could reach 75 mph, with gusts in excess of 100 mph. These winds are capable of significant damage to most structures, including homes, hotels and businesses.
Water levels along coastal locations are expected to become life-threatening and capable of extensive damage to structures on the beach. Water levels will rise as high as 8-16 feet above normal high tide level, with the highest levels found in bays and lagoons that curve inland.
Rainfall will generally range from 4-8 inches across most areas, but in the higher terrain of Taiwan, rainfall amounts could top 1-2 feet, generating flash flooding and mudslides.
East-central China, in particular the provinces of Fujian and Zhejiang, will be at risk of damaging winds and flooding rain on Saturday. The result of a major hit on these provinces is potentially devastating, as this is one of the most populous regions of the world, home to over 90 million people. The city of Shanghai, one of the most populous cities in the world, is north of Zhejiang and the latest thinking is that this city will be spared the worst of Soulik.
Soulik is expected to make landfall on Saturday afternoon in northern Fujian or perhaps southernmost Zhejiang province between the cities of Fuzhou and Wenzhou. With some weakening expected as Soulik moves past Taiwan, maximum sustained winds along the coast of China may be between 80 and 100 mph but could be as high as 120 mph if the track is a little farther north and less interaction with Taiwan occurs. Rainfall amounts of 5-10 inches will be widespread in these eastern provinces of China, as well as easternmost Jiangxi province farther inland. Local amounts over 1 foot are also possible.
蘇力颱風蹂躪台灣北部
2013年7月10日9:30 AM
蘇力颱風接近超強颱風狀態（風速大於150英里），因為它繼續向西移動，接近台灣北部。
蘇力已經持續了140英里每小時的大風，陣風超過165英里每小時。有望保持其強度，或略有加強，在未來的兩天，因為它接近台灣。就在週五下午在台灣登陸，蘇力可能會略有減弱。週四下午和晚上，本地時間，日本沖繩島將蘇力從外波段的進入狂風條件，。
然而，弱化將不顧惜台灣北部地區從危及生命的狀況。台灣北部海岸附近的風和陣風超過每小時100英里，將成為持續高達120或130英里。最有可能的地區看到這些風石垣琉球群島南部及宜蘭，台灣島內。台北的主要城市持續風速達到75英里，陣風超過每小時100英里。這些風能力結構，包括住宅，酒店和企業的重大損壞。
沿海地方的水位預計將成為危及生命，能在沙灘上的結構廣泛破壞。水位將上升高於正常潮位高為8-16英尺高，在海灣和潟湖曲線內陸的最高水平。
降雨量將一般範圍從4-8英寸在大多數地區，但在台灣地勢較高，降雨量可能突破1-2尺，產生閃光的洪水和泥石流。
中國東中部，特別是福建和浙江兩省，將在上週六破壞性大風和暴雨洪水的風險。了重大打擊這些省份的結果可能是災難性的，因為這是世界人口最稠密的地區之一，超過90萬人。城市的上海，在世界上人口最多的城市之一，是浙北的最新思維是，這個城市將不遺餘力最壞的蘇力。
蘇力預計上週六下午在福建北部或者最南端的浙江省城市福州和溫州之間登陸。隨著一些弱化預計隨著台灣蘇力移動過去，沿中國海岸的最高持續風速可能介於80和100英里，但可能會高達120英里每小時，如果軌道是與台灣發生少許更遠的北部和互動比較少。5-10英寸的降雨量將是廣泛存在於這些中國東部省份，以及東端江西省更遠的內陸。當地金額超過1腳也是可能的。
觀星論壇 
